Wheat traded so far in 2022/23 is the lowest since 2015/16, high proportion of deals to be fixed
20 March, 2023
7.67 Mil MT have been traded, representing 67% of production. To be fixed amounts to 2.96 Mil MT and in relation to total marketed represents 39%, a maximum since at least the 1999/00 crop.
With soybean and maize yields down 37% and 26%, respectively, what to expect regarding grain flow
13 March, 2023
The 2022/23 coarse crop is expected to be substantially smaller than the lasts 5-year average, affecting grain availability. Extension of 2022/23 maize shipments was allowed. WASDE and a trade week particularly alert to historical rain shortages.
Wheat milling in January was 8% higher than previous year
6 March, 2023
Despite the drop in production, the pace of wheat milling remains firm, in January it grew by 8% year-on-year. Downward trends in local and international prices.
First commercial indicators for 2022/23 maize
27 February, 2023
Although the 2022/23 maize commercial year formally begins on March 1st, early corn lots have already begun to be harvested, with yields that are expected to be meagre.
Soybean and maize purchases remain at seven-year low
16 February, 2023
With main planting operations coming to an end, soybean and maize trades are the slowest in terms of volume in the last seven years, with a large portion of purchases still to be fixed. Brazilian maize exports in January were the highest in history.
January SBM exports at low levels
6 February, 2023
Argentina’s main export product showing low levels in January after the strong trades done last December, due to the Government’s “Dollar Soya II”.
So far this season, the entry of trucks with wheat to Gran Rosario fell by 80%
30 January, 2023
Between 1-26/DEC, 485,000 MT of wheat were discharged at Upriver ports, 80% below last year, and the lowest level recorded since 2013. The supply shortage supports prices, and the US takes advantage of the situation to increase area.
Milling industry, current scenario and upcoming challenges
12 December, 2022
Wheat milling closed the 2021/22 marketing year stable in terms of processed tons, while flour production may have been the second largest. However, the outlook poses challenges for the new season.
Trade Indicators for the 2021/22 Wheat Season
5 December, 2022
The 2021/22 wheat season started on the first day of December 2021 and ended on 30 November 2022. More than 25 million tons were traded in the domestic market, while more than 15 million tons were declared as exports.
Maize planting progress picks up pace, but still lags behind.
14 November, 2022
The low soil moisture prevents more stronger progress in the planting of grains in Argentina. The Parana River levels rise and improves the loading of ships at Upriver. How are the corn and soybean markets?
Uncertainty regarding production, and falling sunflower prices for the 2022/23 season
24 October, 2022
Main reasons for slower trading pace for the new sunflower crop: World market uncertainty, less-than-optimal production conditions and drop in prices.
Area sown with maize is the lowest in six years so far
17 October, 2022
Lack of rain hinders corn sowing in Argentina. September, a month of very high soybean truck arrivals, with good prospects for October. Lower production and recession fears: October WASDE and price outlook.
2021/22 Wheat milling reached 4.4 Mil MT in August
3 October, 2022
Uncertainty in the outcome of the Black Sea conflict, along with the volatility in world trade, continue to drive up prices. Locally, Argentine milling continues to increase 0.5 Mil MT per month.
The special “Soybean USD Exchange Rate” boost truck deliveries to Rosario by more than double
26 September, 2022
Soybean delivery at Upriver last week grew by 120% over the average of the past three months. SB imports continue at their lowest level in five years. While the drought surprises in the United States, funds are taking positions.
As record consumption and exports consolidate, commercial corn stocks reach all-time highs
19 September, 2022
The robust late-crop corn strongly enforces maize stock ready to supply Argentina’s domestic and export markets. In addition, conservative trade estimates in the US push prices upward.
“Soybean Dollar” exchange rate pushes FOB prices down
12 September, 2022
The Export Increase Program caused high levels of purchases, which turned into exports, thus reducing prices. Upward adjustment of biodiesel prices. Corn peaks at equilibrium volume.
Record imports push trade surplus to four-year low
5 September, 2022
Agriculture represents a mere 7.7% of Argentine imports. So far in 2022, those imports have grown by more than 45%, thus substantially limiting the trade surplus. Energy imports grew the most by far.
Cargill, COFCO and Bunge lead exports in the 2021/22 campaign
29 August, 2022
To date, the main exporters of grains, oilseeds and by-products in Argentina have been Cargill and COFCO with 9.6 and 9 Mil MT respectively, while Bunge completes the podium, coming in 3rd place.
Trend of ARG Soybean futures inverts
22 August, 2022
The supply needs of the local market put pressure on the prices of spot deliveries, surpassing values of the deferred oilseed deliveries. Investment funds reduce their long positions in coarse grains.
Flow of trucks in July falls as late corn harvest slows down.
8 August, 2022
The flow corn trucks to port terminals in the last month was lower than 2021 as harvest slows down, as well as showing lower yields. Additionally, the production of biodiesel grew strongly in the first semester.
Wheat stocks of main exporters adjust—what destination is the Argentine wheat going to?
1 August, 2022
Wheat stocks of the world’s largest exporters have been decreasing, and cereal prices continue to show a bullish response. For this reason, and with greater export potential, Argentina has distributed its shipments among a greater number of destinations.
Agro-industrial shipments from Argentina grow in the first half of 2022
25 July, 2022
Agro-industrial shipments in the first half of the year have reached 51.2 Mil MT, 6% more than in the first half of last year. Asia continues to be the main destination for Argentine shipments.
Soybean and corn prices fall in light of local USD rally
18 July, 2022
From nominal values reached recently, soybean prices fell by almost 25% and corn prices by 28%. A strong dollar coupled with looser balance sheets explains the declines.
Status of Argentine Sorghum 2021/22
11 July, 2022
For the 2021/22 sorghum campaign, a production decrease close to 500,000 tons is expected, when compared to the previous cycle. Furthermore, same as in the last campaign, exports will represent the main destination of the commercial activity.
Soybean purchases uneven between industry and exports
28 June, 2022
With almost three months passed since the beginning of the 2021/22 soybean commercial campaign, the commercialization of the oilseed remains at low levels, measured in absolute terms, with only 18.5 Mil MT originated to date by the industrial and exporting sectors.
Maize harvest and wheat planting progress each at their own pace
22 June, 2022
While the maize harvest is delayed due to high moisture, wheat planting scales up to 31% of the target area. In the United States, wheat ends its 2021/22 campaign with the worst volume of exports on record.